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NAB drastically changes its house price forecast – and it’s bad news for property owners

Property doom and gloom: NAB drastically changes its house price forecast – and it’s bad news for property owners

  • House prices are expected to drop significantly across Australia for the next year
  • National Australia Bank predicted markets in Sydney and Melbourne will drop 
  • June was the ninth consecutive month where house values have fallen 

House prices are expected to drop significantly, slashing the value of properties in the country’s biggest cities. 

The National Australia Bank has predicted property markets will steadily decrease for at least the next year.

Homeowners will suffer the most from the ‘significant’ price plunge that began at the start of 2018, the bank’s economists predicted.

House prices are expected to drop significantly, slashing the value of properties in the country’s biggest cities (pictured is Sydney)

The National Australia Bank has predicted property markets will steadily decrease for at least the next year (pictured is Melbourne)

The National Australia Bank has predicted property markets will steadily decrease for at least the next year (pictured is Melbourne)

‘We now expect a slightly sharper decline in 2018 and a small fall in 2019 (it was expected to be a small increase), driven by continued weakness in Sydney and Melbourne as well as a sharper decline in unit prices in Brisbane.

‘NAB also expects house prices to flatten in aggregate in 2020 – implying a peak to trough fall of 6.5 per cent and 2.5 per cent in Sydney and Melbourne respectively.’

NAB chief economist Alan Oster told Nine News there was less confidence in the property market across Australia.

‘Overall confidence levels fell to a new survey low, driven down mainly by NSW and Victoria where capital city house prices have declined.’

NAB chief economist Alan Oster said there was less confidence in the property market across Australia

NAB chief economist Alan Oster said there was less confidence in the property market across Australia

Mr Oster said the number of foreign buyers purchasing houses in Australia had declined.

‘State government incentives and moderating house prices are likely helping first home buyers move onto the property ladder.’

In the past year, national house prices have fallen 2.7 per cent to a median price of $556,384, according to CoreLogic data.

June was the ninth consecutive month where house values across Australia have fallen since a peak in September. 

HOUSE PRICE FORECASTS 

Sydney

2016: +10.7 per cent

2017: +2.1 per cent

2018 (forecast): -3.7 per cent

2019 (forecast): -0.7 per cent 

Brisbane

2016: +2.7 per cent

2017: +3.1 per cent

2018 (forecast): +0.1 per cent

2019 (forecast): 0.0 per cent 

Perth

2016: -2.9 per cent

2017: -2.6 per cent

2018 (forecast): -0.7 per cent

2019 (forecast): -0.2 per cent 

Melbourne

2016: +2.5 per cent

2017: +9.1 per cent

2018 (forecast): -2.3 per cent 

2019 (forecast): -0.7 per cent 

Adelaide

2016: +3.8 per cent

2017: +3.3 per cent

2018 (forecast): +1.5 per cent

2019 (forecast): +1.7 per cent

Hobart

2016: +9.6 per cent

2017: +12.9 per cent

2018 (forecast): +8.4 per cent

2019 (forecast): +1.7 per cent 

Source: CoreLogic, National Australia Bank

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Read more at DailyMail.co.uk


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