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Boris Johnson set for triumphant Downing Street return with 373 MPs

Poll of polls suggests Boris Johnson’s Conservatives could win HUGE 96-seat majority despite losing five per cent share of the popular vote

  • Boris Johnson is set to return to Number 10 with an estimated 373 Tory MPs 
  • Jeremy Corbyn is predicted to lose MPs from across the country in the election 
  • The Conservatives are expected to win their majority despite a lower vote share
  • The poll of poll research has been conducted by Electoral Calculus  

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is facing an electoral wipe out with Boris Johnson set to return to Downing Street with a majority of 96. 

At the time the general election was called, the Conservative Party had 298 seats while Labour had 243. 

However, according to research conducted by Electoral Calculus, Mr Johnson will return to parliament with 373 MPs – far in excess of the 326 needed for a Commons majority. 

The researchers say there is a 60 per cent chance of an overall Conservative majority compared with 12 per cent for Labour.  

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to sweep Jeremy Corbyn away to victory according to a new poll of poll which predicts the Conservatives securing 373 seats – far in excess of the 326 needed for a majority

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour party is predicted to loose seats in all areas - with heavy defeats predicted in the Midlands and the North

Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour party is predicted to loose seats in all areas – with heavy defeats predicted in the Midlands and the North

The research by Electoral Calculus suggests that Nigel Farage's Brexit Party will

The research by Electoral Calculus suggests that Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party will 

In 2017, Theresa May lost her majority returning from her snap election with 318 seats with a 43.5 per cent share of the vote. 

It is estimated that Mr Johnson will secure 373 seats despite the Conservative share of the vote falling to 38.2 per cent because Labour’s 41 per cent share from 2017 will drop to 27.2 per cent. 

Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party is likely to receive 10 per cent of the vote but will not win any seats, while the Liberal Democrats’ 15.9 per cent share could see them with 25 seats. 

The figures used by Electoral Calculus are from opinion polls from October 25 to November 4, 2019 in a sample of 15,917 people. 

The poll of poll predicts major Labour losses across all parts of England, Scotland and Wales, with many ‘traditional’ red areas turning blue. 

The resurgent Liberal Democrats are expected to make gains in London, the South West, and Scotland. 

Across the Midlands, it is predicted that the Conservatives will pick up 21 seats from Labour.

Labour are predicted to drop a further 11 seats in the North West. Over on the North East, things are equally as grim, with four Labour seats under threat – including Tony Blair’s former Sedgefield constituency. 

In London, Labour is predicted to lose seats to both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. 

According to social justice campaigners, Labour’s woes may be a result of losing the trust of poorer people.  

According to the Telegraph, Andy Cook, chief executive of the Centre for Social Justice said: ‘We’re serving up evidence that low-income Britons make up a big voting bloc in our swing seats. The party leaders need to win them over and, on this evidence, they have a mountain to climb. 

‘No one comes out well in our survey with most  poorer voters having been forgotten by their local canvassers and MP. 

‘The Labour Party can only muster support from just over a third of the poorest voters and they see Labour as the most out-of-touch of the lot. The evidence shows a major swing from Labour’s target voters to the Brexit Party, who seem to take slightly smaller bites out of the Conservatives.’ 

Mr Corbyn has suffered a number of heavy blows with former home secretary David Blunkett claiming the ‘anti-Semitism’ and ‘thuggery’ in the party makes him ‘despair’.

Lord Blunkett, who was an MP for 28 years and now sits as a Labour peer in the upper chamber, said the likelihood of Jeremy Corbyn winning a majority was ‘extraordinarily slim’.

But he urged moderates within the party to “stay and fight” to ensure the “voice of reason” prevailed, following deputy leader Tom Watson’s decision to stand down.

The former Cabinet minister and party chairman’s comments came after a bruising week for the party which has seen two of its former MPs urge voters to back the Tories instead.


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