Can Tottenham qualify for Champions League last 16 with 1 point from 3 games?

Only SEVEN teams in history have reached Champions League last 16 after one point from three games… so, can Tottenham follow Arsenal’s lead?

  • Tottenham threw away lead at PSV to draw 2-2 on Wednesday night
  • The result leaves them with just one point from opening three games
  • Only seven teams have qualified with one point from their first three matches

‘It’s nearly over,’ admitted Mauricio Pochettino on Wednesday night as his Tottenham team were held to a disappointing draw at PSV.

Seemingly coasting with a 2-1 scoreline that flattered their opponents, Hugo Lloris contrived to get himself sent off before Luuk de Jong struck a late equaliser.

The result leaves Pochettino’s side with just a point from their opening three Champions League matches – and the stats show it is indeed nearly over.

Hugo Lloris is sent off on Wednesday night as Tottenham could only draw at PSV

Sixty-seven times a team has had one point after their first three group games and only seven times have they gone on to reach the last 16. That’s a chance of just under one in 10.

And looking at the remaining fixtures, that seems about right.

Even if Tottenham beat PSV and Inter in their next two matches and the Italians lose at home to Barcelona, the north Londoners would still need a shock result on the final matchday – either them getting a result at the Nou Camp or PSV picking up at least a point at the San Siro.

If they are looking for inspiration then Spurs’ bitter rivals Arsenal can provide it.

Team Season W D L F A GD Pts Group Place Achieved
Arsenal 2003-04 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1 1 Quarter-final
Porto 2004-05 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1 2 Last 16
Werder Bremen 2005-06 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1 2 Last 16
Liverpool 2007-08 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1 2 Semi-final
Panathinaikos 2008-09 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1 1 Last 16
Galatasaray 2012-13 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1 2 Quarter-final
Gent 2015-16 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1 2 Last 16

Back in 2003-04, their Invincible Premier League season, the Gunners became the first team ever to reach the Champions League knockout despite picking up just one point from their opening three group games, memorably beating Inter 5-1 at the San Siro along the way. They were knocked out in the quarter-finals by Chelsea.

Liverpool went one step further in 2007-08, reaching a semi-final despite a nightmare start to the group stage.

The other teams to have a achieved the feat are Porto, Werder Bremen, Panathinaikos, Galatasaray and Gent.

Thierry Henry scores for Arsenal in their famous 5-1 win over Inter Milan in November  2003

Thierry Henry scores for Arsenal in their famous 5-1 win over Inter Milan in November  2003