Coronavirus Australia: What ‘Italy-style’ lockdown could look like

Australian authorities have not ruled out a nationwide lockdown similar to those currently underway in several European countries to minimise the threat of coronavirus.   

Italy, Spain and France have introduced policies forcing citizens to stay indoors to slow the spread of the deadly respiratory infection as cases soar past 187,000 globally.

On Tuesday, Australian travellers were urged to make their way back home as soon as possible and ‘reconsider their need for travelling’ in a statement released by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. 

‘If you’re already overseas and wish to return to Australia, we recommend you do so as soon as possible by commercial means.’  

Cases of coronavirus in Australia have soared to 455 in recent days, including five fatalities

Australian travellers were urged to make their way back home as soon as possible and 'reconsider their need for travelling' in a statement released by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. Pictured: A woman and two children arriving in Australia's international terminal

Australian travellers were urged to make their way back home as soon as possible and ‘reconsider their need for travelling’ in a statement released by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. Pictured: A woman and two children arriving in Australia’s international terminal

Thousands of Australians have suggested the measure is a prelude to a complete closure of the borders in preparation for a European-style lockdown.

Federal health minister Greg Hunt on Sunday said ‘all options are on the table’ for consideration, and Australia’s Chief Medical Officer Brendan Murphy agreed.

‘It is potential that could be the case, but that may be focal. One of the things we know about outbreaks of infections is they can affect one part of a country, but not the other,’ he said.

He said the government would consider shutting down an entire city the size of Sydney if they believed it would be beneficial for the public. 

If the government chooses to go ahead with a nationwide lockdown, Australians will likely be confined to their homes – and possibly work offices – and be banned from social gatherings, travelling, gambling and dining out. 

Daily Mail Australia takes a look at what life would be like in Australia under total lockdown.    

A nurse speaks with patients at the door of the new Covid-19 Clinic at the Mount Barker Hospital in Adelaide

A nurse speaks with patients at the door of the new Covid-19 Clinic at the Mount Barker Hospital in Adelaide

RESTAURANTS, BARS AND PUBS TO BECOME ‘TAKE AWAY’ DINERS  

My Kitchen Rules chef Colin Fassnidge confessed on Tuesday he’d been ‘told on the quiet’ that venues would be closed by Sunday.

He decided to close his two restaurants – 4Fourteen in Surry Hills and the Banksia Hotel near the city’s airport – immediately following the news. 

Despite potential closures, restaurants may still have the option to stay open for take away to continue bringing in at least a slight profit.  

‘Just support us, get takeaway,’ he said. ‘Nobody knows what’s going to happen. Everyone’s saying restaurants could be closed for up to three or four weeks.’  

‘So everyone should support the local restaurants and cafes and just get takeaway. The next few weeks are going to be tough. We’re not going to make any money. It’s about just staying afloat – so support us.’ 

Cafes, restaurants, bars and pubs were among the first venues told to close as the coronavirus pandemic threatened lives. 

In Italy, Spain and France, the closures are a part of nationwide lockdowns, but other venues scattered across Europe, the United Kingdom and United States have also felt the weight of the virus.

Globally, hospitality workers are facing job cuts and weeks on end without substantial pay or tips – which many rely on to survive.  

Restaurants will likely close the dine in facilities, instead offering people take away options to stay afloat. Pictured: Outdoor seating at a cafe on Lygon Street, Melbourne

Restaurants will likely close the dine in facilities, instead offering people take away options to stay afloat. Pictured: Outdoor seating at a cafe on Lygon Street, Melbourne

ALL SCHOOLS AND UNIVERSITIES CLOSED 

With a national lockdown comes the closure of educational facilities, including day care centres, primary and high schools as well as universities.

Some Australian universities are already in the process of transitioning to online learning to avoid unnecessary human-to-human contact, but it is likely all will follow suit in the case of a mandatory lockdown.

Poll

SHOULD AUSTRALIA GO INTO LOCKDOWN TO SLOW THE SPREAD OF COVID-19?

For students who were expecting to graduate in 2020, most have already been notified that the event has been cancelled. 

The ramifications are far greater when considering younger children being kept at home.

While schools can also share learning content online, students will effectively be home-schooled for the length of the lockdown, creating staff shortages in other industries.

Parents will be forced to stop work to look after their kids, meaning shortages across every industry, from doctors to cleaners, couriers and chefs.

Yale University social scientist Nicholas Christakis told news.com.au governments should follow the Japanese government’s model in giving parents a basic income to support them during school closures. 

‘Health care workers could be taken out of commission to care for their own children precisely when we need them at hospitals. Parents could lose job opportunities,’ he said. 

‘This is why in Japan, they’re providing a basic income to parents during the closure. It should be rightly seen as a state expense.’  

For students who were expecting to graduate in 2020, most have already been notified that the event has been cancelled

For students who were expecting to graduate in 2020, most have already been notified that the event has been cancelled

SPORTING EVENTS AND CONCERTS CANCELLED  

Sporting events in Australia have already been changed for the foreseeable future.

Those that are still able to go ahead will have to do so with no live crowds in order to maintain health standards for all players. 

But a total lockdown would signal the end of all sports for the 2020 season.

Concerts, festivals and social gatherings would also be canned under the stringent policies for at least the duration of the lockdown.

Already multiple music festivals, including Groovin The Moo, Splendour in the Grass  and Touch Bass have cancelled or postponed their 2020 tour dates in response to health threats.

Sporting matches as we know it have been scrapped for the foreseeable future. Events which haven't been cancelled will not host live crowds. Pictured: Couple at the Manly Sea Eagles NRL game on Sunday wearing face masks

Sporting matches as we know it have been scrapped for the foreseeable future. Events which haven’t been cancelled will not host live crowds. Pictured: Couple at the Manly Sea Eagles NRL game on Sunday wearing face masks

Tasmania’s annual art festival, Dark Mofo, also called off the celebration of the winter solstice.

All galleries would likely cease operations, as would tourist attractions, like the Sydney Harbour Bridge climb or swimming in the Great Barrier Reef.  

Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young says the arts industry will be among the worst hit, and must be front and centre of the second stimulus package being prepared by the prime minister.

‘It’s estimated the arts industry will lose more than half a billion dollars in ticket sales alone over the next three months,’ she said.

‘The industry needs an urgent rescue package with significant funding to get through the next 12 months.’

POSTPONED OR CANCELLED EVENTS 

NEW SOUTH WALES 

Bluesfest at Byron Bay: Cancelled

Splendour in the Grass: Rescheduled to 23-25 October at North Byron Parklands

Vivid Sydney: Cancelled

Download Festival: Cancelled 

Sydney Writers’ Festival: Ticket sales suspended

Mercedes-Benz Fashion Week: Cancelled

The Festival of Dangerous Ideas: Ticket sales suspended

Sydney’s Royal Easter Show: Cancelled 

The Wiggles’ Fun and Games Tour: Remaining shows postponed 

Comedy Steps Up for Bushfire Relief: Cancelled    

SOUTH AUSTRALIA 

Dark Mofo: Cancelled

School of Rock The Musical: Changes to opening night but unclear what

Adelaide Symphony Orchestra: Postponed two shows

State Opera of SA: Suspended its season of The Barber of Seville

Cirque du Soliel: KURIO shows cancelled 

SACE Art Show: Opening night cancelled

Tasting Australia: Postponed until October or November

VICTORIA

Harry Potter and the Cursed Child: Suspended until April 12 

The National Gallery of Victoria: Closed temporarily

Arts Centre Melbourne: Closed temporarily

Museums Victoria: Closed temporarily

Melbourne Comedy Festival: Cancelled

Walkleys Mid-Year Journalism Dinner: Cancelled 

Luna Park: Temporarily closed for two weeks

Virgin Australia Fashion Festival events: Cancelled

Wine Machine: Postponed until October 31 

Melbourne Symphony Orchestra: Cancelled performances until April

Melbourne Theatre Company: Performances of Torch the Place and Emerald City cancelled 

Melbourne Queer Film Festival: Suspended 

QUEENSLAND

Brisbane Comedy Festival: Cancelled 

Gold Coast Film Festival: Cancelled

Queensland Ballet 60th Anniversary Gala: Cancelled

AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY

Wine Machine: Postponed until October 24

SAY GOODBYE TO FAMILY OWNED SMALL BUSINESS… 

Most local dancing studios, fish and chip stores and hair salons are family-owned small businesses operating on a week-by-week or month-by-month basis.

A mandatory, nationwide lockdown could leave them financialled ruined.

Mum-and-dad sporting clubs and small beauticians will face mounting out of pocket expenses during the lockdown, as they still have overheads to pay – and maybe even salaries.

Some people have called for members of the community to help out where they can.

‘If you’re still getting a pay check and can’t attend lessons (martial arts, dance, music etc) consider still paying and make it up later,’ one person suggested.

Most local dancing studios, fish and chip stores and hair salons (stock image) are family-owned small businesses operating on a week-by-week or month-by-month basis. A mandatory, nationwide lockdown could leave them financialled ruined

Most local dancing studios, fish and chip stores and hair salons (stock image) are family-owned small businesses operating on a week-by-week or month-by-month basis. A mandatory, nationwide lockdown could leave them financialled ruined

Others said buying gift vouchers for the local hairdresser, beautician or massage therapist to use when the lockdown finished would be another simple way to support the community.

‘Remember, large corporations will recover from a month or two of lost income, small businesses may not.’

But even some of Australia’s most well known organisations are likely to suffer in the face of the economic downturn coronavirus could cause.

The government has created a $17.6billion stimulus package to help save the economy – which is currently teetering on the brink of collapse.

People employed in the tourism industry or retail sector are likely to feel the sting of the crisis the most, as people cancel holidays in and out of Australia and stop heading out to shopping centres.

WHY DO EXPERTS THINK A LOCKDOWN IS CRUCIAL? 

At least 3,500 medical professionals and experts have signed an open letter pleading with the Australian government to take a tougher stance against COVID-19. 

In the letter, intensive care specialist Greg Kelly aligned the nation’s demographic and health care system closer to Italy rather than China.

He said the current rate of infection in Australia alone suggests at least 12,000 people could catch the deadly respiratory virus by April. 

‘On current growth rates the 370 cases in Australia today will be 750 on Friday, 1,500 on Tuesday next week, 3,000 next Saturday, 6000 on the 1st of April and 12,000 by the 4th of April,’ the letter reads.

Australia’s current healthcare system would be ‘in a worse position than Italy is currently in’ should the predictions come to fruition, the letter says.  

More than 27,000 people have caught the virus in Italy and medics are currently struggling to keep up with the amount of critically sick people, describing situations on the ground as similar to a war zone.

So far, 2,158 people have died from complications relating to COVID-19 in the country, and that number is predicted to rise as doctors struggle with limited resources.

The healthcare system in Italy has crumbled to the point where doctors are being forced to choose between which patients to treat based on a number of factors – including determining who is more likely to survive the outbreak.

Mr Kelly fears Australians could be faced with a similar fate if the virus continues to spread. 

They applaud the government for the recent implementation ofthe social distancing policies but say they need to be pushed even further and be strictly enforced. 

The letter calls for an immediate and mandatory national lockdown, as well as further resources deployed to hospitals to help them fight the inevitable surge in cases in coming weeks. 

Mr Kelly described the virus as ‘predictable’ and said international evidence proves cases double every three to five days within a country until strict lockdown orders are imposed. 

From the time of lockdown, the disease will take roughly two weeks to show signs of slowing down based on the time it takes for symptoms to show in most cases.

HYGIENE AND CLEANLINESS

While many workers could simply shift to a working from home model in the case of a total lockdown, the loss or restriction of certain industries would be particularly felt.

Garbage disposal workers, cleaners, tradesmen like electricians and plumbers would be particularly missed in the happenings of everyday life.

Restrictions on movement for sole traders could limit their ability to do home call outs, while garbage men may have to reduce their collection routes. 

During the Spanish influenza crisis in the early 1900s, a statewide lockdown in NSW required every person to wear surgical masks.

Australian authorities recently confirmed they had received additional supplies of face masks, but the nation has felt the sting of a shortage in the past.

For weeks now, members of the public have been stocking up on hand sanitiser and toilet paper in the case of an emergency or shortage.

Supermarket bosses have reiterated that there are no shortages of either product, despite shelves in stores being empty, and said the issue is not with manufacturing but with transporting and stocking the products to meet increased demand.  

A woman was seen wiping her eyes as she headed through Sydney International Airport on -March 16 - one day after Prime Minister Scott Morrison introduced new self-quarantine rule

A woman was seen wiping her eyes as she headed through Sydney International Airport on -March 16 – one day after Prime Minister Scott Morrison introduced new self-quarantine rules

DEPLETED SUPPLIES IN SUPERMARKETS 

With lockdown comes closures of businesses and potentially warehouses, meaning a manufacturing shortage could be imminent. 

Medicines, toilet paper, and hand sanitiser which are made on home soil could be impacted in the case of a mandatory, nationwide lockdown.

While there is no confirmation about whether or not workplaces will be closed or restricted to limited hours, the supply chain could potentially be hurt in the move.

In Europe, even during lockdown, essential workers have still been able to get to and from work.

But closing cafes, restaurants, pubs and smaller food outlets could further increase demand and push already struggling supermarkets beyond their limits.

Coles, Woolworths and Aldi have all imposed strict limits on purchasing toilet paper, hand sanitiser and non perishable goods like pasta and rice in recent weeks.

The supermarket giants have also introduced designated shopping times for the elderly, vulnerable and disabled from 7am to 8am. 

Customers have been taking extra precautions when heading out to do their groceries. Pictured: A woman buying water bottles at Coles in Waterloo while wearing a face mask

Customers have been taking extra precautions when heading out to do their groceries. Pictured: A woman buying water bottles at Coles in Waterloo while wearing a face mask

Empty shelves in an Australian supermarket after panic buying due to the coronavirus crisis

Empty shelves in an Australian supermarket after panic buying due to the coronavirus crisis

LESS CONGESTION ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT 

During a lockdown, it is unlikely the nation’s entire public transport network would be temporarily disbanded.

The more likely scenario, when considering the current procedures in Italy, France and Spain, is that trains, buses and ferries will simply be quieter.

People who need public transport to get to and from work will still have access to the facilities, but less congestion will mean they can still safely practice social distancing policies. 

Travel for reasons outside of work will likely be prohibited for the duration of the lockdown period, giving state governments the flexibility to suspend some services throughout the day and night.  

NO VISITING FAMILY 

Some aged care homes across the nation have implemented their own lockdowns, prohibiting any visitors for two weeks in an attempt to slow the spread of COVID-19.

The elderly have been identified as the most at-risk category of people globally, and most of the people who have died from the disease in Australia were residing in a nursing home which was infected.

New official government directives regarding aged care residents and workers are expected to be announced on Wednesday.

In Italy, prisons have also denied entry to visitors during the lockdown period, meaning Australia may decide to implement a similar policy should the nation go into lockdown.   

CORONAVIRUS CASES IN AUSTRALIA: 455

New South Wales: 210

Victoria: 94

Queensland: 78

South Australia: 32

Western Australia: 31

Tasmania: 7

Northern Territory: 1 

Australian Capital Territory: 2 

TOTAL CASES:  455

DEAD: 5  

WORSHIP IN YOUR OWN HOME 

Currently, Australia has banned any static mass gatherings of more than 500 people, which affects very few places of worship.

However in the scenario of a national lockdown, people could be encouraged to practice their religions at home to minimise the risk of spreading or catching COVID-19.

Rome was forced to cancel all church gatherings during the nationwide lockdown in Italy to help curb the spread of the deadly respiratory infection.

During the Spanish influenza crisis of the early 1900s, Australians were banned from attending church during the lockdown period.

CLOSURE OF CASINOS  

MGM Resorts International temporarily shut down operations of all of its Las Vegas casinos amid concerns about the growing threat of coronavirus. 

Closures have occurred all throughout America, but the shutdown of some of the most well-known casinos and mega resorts offers an indication of what a lockdown could mean for similar businesses in Australia.

Already, Crown Casinos in Melbourne has shut down every second pokie machine, essentially forcing punters to adhere to the 1.5m social distancing rule.

But like The Bellagio, MGM Grand and Mandalay Bay, Australian casinos would likely shut up shop during a mandatory, nationwide lockdown.  

The Mirage, Luxor, New York-New York, Excalibur and Park MG have also shut in Vegas, MGM confirmed.

Melbourne's Crown Casino has implemented social distancing on its gaming floor and banned gatherings of more than 450 people to prevent the spread of coronavirus

Melbourne’s Crown Casino has implemented social distancing on its gaming floor and banned gatherings of more than 450 people to prevent the spread of coronavirus

NO ACCESS TO GYMS OR PUBLIC POOLS 

Currently, there are no policies in place regarding training at a gym or using public swimming pools, except for people restricted to self-isolation.

But in a locked down nation, leisure activities like these will likely be among the first things prohibited.

Chief Medical Officer Brendan Murphy said people should be extra vigilant in practicing good hygiene in gyms at the moment.

‘If you’re going to the gym, I would be very focused on hand washing using hand sanitisers. All of those social distancing and good hygiene measures,’ he continued.

‘We want everybody in the community to start practising those and to start thinking about how we will practice social distancing moving forward.’

NSW Health confirmed coronavirus cells could live on surfaces for anywhere between a few hours to a few days, meaning all equipment should be thoroughly sanitised between uses.  

WHAT ELSE HAS ALREADY BEEN CANCELLED? 

Anzac Day services cancelled in all states with the public banned from attending dawn services 

The Australian Grand Prix was cancelled amid coronavirus concerns

Thousands of flights among all major airlines have been grounded 

Bunnings’ sausage sizzles have been suspended with the company donating gift cards to community groups which had pre-booked the popular fundraiser

Hearings at the High Court postponed with the full bench not set to meet again in Canberra until August, but the court will continue to hand down judgements

Remaining Sheffield Shield cricket matches and final cancelled 

Cricket’s One Day International series between Australia and New Zealand cancelled

Round 1 AFL and remaining AFLW matches will be played without spectators

Super Rugby on hold indefinitely 

NRL to play without crowds, with the NZ Warriors based in northern NSW for the time being

A-League and W-League to play out season in empty stadiums, with NZ’s Wellington Phoenix to spend their 14-day compulsory isolation in training

Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival to go ahead without punters and only essential staff allowed, with international horses expected to be denied entry

Large-scale booze buses in Qld, NSW and WA suspended 

World Surf League opening event of the 2020 Championship Tour on the Gold Coast cancelled

2020 Surf Life Saving Championships cancelled  

The Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety hearings in Adelaide and future hearings closed to the public until further notice 

Diggers and Dealers Mining Forum rescheduled to October  

A family wearing face masks at Town Hall, in Sydney's CBD on March 17 as more COVID-19 cases in Australia are identified

A family wearing face masks at Town Hall, in Sydney’s CBD on March 17 as more COVID-19 cases in Australia are identified

WILL WORKING FROM HOME BECOME THE NEW NORM? 

Companies are increasingly encouraging staff to work from home as the coronavirus pandemic sweeps the globe.

And some experts say it is likely a selection of businesses will continue with the model even after the threat of the virus passes.

But at least for the duration of a lockdown, theoretically most employees will be set up to work from the comfort of their own homes to avoid unnecessary travel. 

One workplace trends consultancy manager recently told US media ‘once effective work-from-home policies are established, they are likely to stick,’ when discussing the impacts of coronavirus. 

WHAT DOES LOCKDOWN LOOK LIKE IN OTHER PARTS OF THE WORLD?

In Italy, the lockdown has forbade any trips in public. Residents are able to travel to and from work, and to receive medical attention or supplies.

The Spanish version remains slightly more lenient, though could change at any moment.

A partial 15-day lockdown was implemented after a state of emergency was declared following a sudden spike in cases of COVID-19.

Schools, universities and retailers shut their doors but grocery stores have been allowed to remain open, and people can travel to and from work.

Italy (pictured) has been placed into lockdown after more than 24,000 cases of coronavirus in the nation developed

Italy (pictured) has been placed into lockdown after more than 24,000 cases of coronavirus in the nation developed 

People are also allowed to visit hospitals and banks and are welcome to visit sick, vulnerable or elderly people.  

In France, all non-essential businesses and venues have temporarily closed their doors.

A handful of states in America, as well as Ireland, have also implemented lockdowns, closing bars, pubs and venues to curb the spread of the disease.

Authorities warn Australia is about two weeks behind Europe and the United States in terms of the virus’ spread – leading some to believe closures on home soil are imminent too. 

Prime Minister Morrison has already implemented the social distancing policy, as well as a self-quarantine requirement for anybody arriving in Australia from overseas.

Furthermore, he has placed a ban on all non-essential gatherings of more than 500 people, and warned the volatile situation will likely result in future changes to policies.

HOW COVID-19 HAS AFFECTED SUPERANNUATION 

Australian superannuation account balances have plunged by double digits during the past three weeks as coronavirus fears have scared investors.

With 450 people in Australia now infected with COVID-19, there are fears the economy will be damaged for at least a decade as people the world over are forced into home quarantine.

A sick economy, as crowd events are banned, means fewer people are employed.

This poses a threat to Australia’s retirement savings, which were worth $3trillion before China announced the first cases of coronavirus in Wuhan.

Australian superannuation account balances have plunged by double digits during the past three weeks as coronavirus fears have scared investors.

With 450 people in Australia now infected with COVID-19, there are fears the economy will be damaged for at least a decade as people the world over are forced into home quarantine.

A sick economy, as crowd events are banned, means fewer people are employed.

This poses a threat to Australia’s retirement savings, which were worth $3trillion before China announced the first cases of coronavirus in Wuhan. 

This is particularly daunting for people approaching 60, who need superannuation to supplement their aged pension and often to pay off their mortgage.

Retirement savings are also tied to the share market which had plunged by a third, or $700billion, in just three weeks.

Superannuation research group SuperRatings estimates balanced super funds, mainly invested in growth assets, had dived by 10 to 12 per cent since the share market peaked on February 20.

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