Doherty Institute modelling predicts Australia will hit 200,000 cases a DAY by the end of January

BREAKING: Doherty Institute modelling predicts Australia will hit 200,000 cases a DAY by the end of January without further restrictions


Experts are predicting Australia could record 200,000 cases of Omicron per day before the end of January unless state governments re-introduce restricitons.

Modelling produced by the Doherty Institute say without low-to-medium restrictions being mandated, including limits on visitors and density in pubs, cafes and restaurants, the country could be facing millions of Covid cases.

‘Boosters alone will not be fast enough to halt the spread of Omicron,’ the Doherty Institute said, as reported by the Sydney Morning Herald.

Experts are predicting Australia could record 200,000 cases of Omicron per day before the end of January unless the government re-introduces restricitons

As a part of the predicted 200,000 cases per day, researchers say hospitalisations could skyrocket to 4,000 per day – putting a heavy strain on the medical system.

This would see between 8,000 and 10,000 patients admitted to ICUs over the course of the wave nationally.  

The Doherty Institute concluded the data based off current restrictions, which include no lockdowns, no retail restrictions and open schools.

It also assumes that Omicron has the same severity of disease as Delta, something that has yet to be proven.

The Covid testing clinic on Bondi Beach has had hours-long waits this week after cases skyrocketing across the Harbour City

 The Covid testing clinic on Bondi Beach has had hours-long waits this week after cases skyrocketing across the Harbour City

The modelling suggests another hard lockdown would see the outbreak under control by the end of January – something leaders have promised will not be an option going forward.  

‘Looking at the impact of increasing uptake over time, a rapid booster program would likely enable control with minimal public health safety measures by end of March,’ the Institute’s report published on December 17 says.

‘The epidemic peak could be delayed with public health safety measures until the boosters kick in, allowing the program to have greater impact.’  

NSW Covid-19 cases numbers exploded with 3,057 new infections on Tuesday, the state’s highest spike in daily infections during the pandemic.

Two deaths were also recorded as NSW recorded a spike of more than 500 cases recorded 24 hours earlier.

NSW Covid-19 cases numbers exploded with 3,057 new infections on Tuesday, the state's highest spike in daily infections during the pandemic

NSW Covid-19 cases numbers exploded with 3,057 new infections on Tuesday, the state’s highest spike in daily infections during the pandemic

Hospitalisations are also on the rise with 284 cases admitted, including 39 in intensive care.

However, hospitalisations are still only a fraction than the figures recorded during the height of the Delta outbreak.

Three months ago, 1266 cases were in hospital with 244 in ICU.

Victoria recorded 1245 cases and six deaths on Tuesday, slightly down from 1,302 infections reported on Monday.

Around 392 cases are being treated in hospital, including 73 in intensive care. 



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