Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party have continued to make up ground on Boris Johnson and the Tories with just hours to go until the general election starts, according to a new poll.
A survey conducted by Opinium between December 10-11 puts the Tories on 45 per cent overall, down one point on the company’s work published last week.
But Labour is up two points in the poll to 33 per cent, giving the Tories a 12 point lead as the nation prepares to go to the ballot box.
Meanwhile, almost one in ten voters are yet to make up their mind about how they will cast their vote.
If the headline numbers were replicated when people vote tomorrow then Mr Johnson would almost certainly win a big Tory majority.
But Conservative nerves have been set on edge after a separate YouGov poll suggested a hung parliament is still a very real possibility.
All the leaders of the main political parties embarked on last ditch trips across the UK today in a final push for votes.
Mr Johnson’s day got off to a terrible start in West Yorkshire after he refused to be interviewed on ITV’s Good Morning Britain programme as he sought refuge in a fridge at the dairy he was visiting, prompting a wave of ridiculing memes on social media.
Meanwhile, one of his aides swore on live television as the broadcaster’s reporter tried to ambush the PM to force him to answer questions.
Mr Johnson later made his way to Derby where he helped to cook a pie at a catering company before then heading to south Wales to visit a wrapping paper factory.
Meanwhile, Mr Corbyn visited Glasgow and the north of England where he insisted Labour will defy the poll numbers and win the election ‘no problem at all’.
An Opinium survey gives the Tories a 12 point over Labour on the eve of the general election
The Opinium survey is likely to have buoyed Boris Johnson’s spirits, pictured in Hengoed in south Wales this afternoon, as it suggests he is still on course to win a majority
Jeremy Corbyn, pictured on a visit to Rother Valley this afternoon, has insisted Labour will win the election ‘no problem at all’
The YouGov survey, published last night, showed the Tories are on course to win a 28 seat majority.
However, the margin of error on the poll was sufficiently large that Mr Johnson could end up with anything between 311 seats – short of a majority – and 367.
Mr Johnson has consistently enjoyed double digit poll leads over Mr Corbyn for the duration of the campaign but things have tightened in recent days.
The new Opinium poll suggests that barring a major shock, Mr Johnson’s Tories will end up with the most MPs after the election.
The survey shows that Labour has made gains in the final few days of campaigning but it appears to be too little too late for Mr Corbyn.
The rounded figures for the Opinium survey show a 12 point lead for the Tories but Labour’s vote share sits at 33.5 per cent while the Conservatives are on 44.8 per cent putting Mr Johnson’s exact lead at 11.3 per cent.
Opinium suggested that the tightening in the polls could be attributed to Remain voters making a last-minute switch from the Liberal Democrats to Labour.
The Lib Dems are on 12 per cent of the vote, down one per cent on last week’s poll.
The Opinium survey could go could some way to assuaging Tory fears of the election resulting in a hung parliament after the YouGov poll was published last night.
That poll put the Tories on 43 per cent with Labour on 34 per cent.
YouGov estimated that the Tories were on course to win 339 seats, up 22 on the party’s tally from the 2017 general election.
A YouGov survey published last night put the Tories on 43 per cent with Labour trailing on 34 per cent
The YouGov survey suggested the Tories are on course to secure 339 seats with Labour ending up with 231
Mr Johnson’s decision to refuse to be interviewed on ITV’s GMB programme and to seek refuge in a fridge prompted ridicule online – including from former Tory minister David Gauke who is standing as an independent candidate at the election
Meanwhile, Labour was projected to lose 31 seats when compared to the result from two years ago, with the party potentially finishing up with 231 MPs.
But crucially, YouGov’s analysis showed the race in dozens of seats is incredibly tight with less than five per cent separating the two main parties.
That means that just small swings could dramatically alter the final result of the election.
The latest poll numbers came as Mr Johnson insisted he is not too posh to win over working-class Labour voters – as he launched a savage attack on Mr Corbyn.
In an eve-of-poll interview with MailOnline, the PM questioned his opponent’s patriotism as he accused him of repeatedly ‘siding with our enemies’ and following the ‘line to take’ from Vladimir Putin.
He said the UK’s allies were ‘seriously concerned’ about the prospect of Mr Corbyn taking power.
Mr Johnson appealed for voters to avoid the ‘catastrophe’ of a hard-Left government that would wipe out jobs and send businesses to the wall.
And he also delivered a stark message that failure to honour the result of the 2016 referendum would risk social unrest and the rise of more extreme political movements – as disaffected Leave voters abandon mainstream parties.
Mr Johnson also revealed in the interview that he has not spoken to Donald Trump since the ‘gossipgate’ row at last week’s NATO summit.
Amid Tory fears ties to the US President could be an electoral liability, the PM also played down their warm relationship saying he gets on well with ‘all sorts of leaders’.
Ten early results to watch on election night: Knife-edge seats that will announce before 3am and could point towards a big majority for Boris Johnson … or a Brexit-stalling hung parliament
Boris Johnson will not have to wait long to decide whether he will taste champagne or bitter tears on election night with a host of key seats determined early on.
Ten Leave-supporting Labour marginals are among the constituencies expected to declare their results in the early hours of Friday, after polls close at 10pm.
Many have been Labour for generations and whether they stay in the hands of Jeremy Corbyn or switch allegiance to the Tories could make all the difference to the timing and manner of Brexit.
One of the earliest is the bellweather seat of Workington in Cumbria. Home of Workington Man, the archetypal voter at this election is is due to declare at 1am.
Labour is defending a majority of almost 4,000 and the most recent poll suggests they could hold it, despite a 60 per cent Leave vote.
So a swing to the Tories here could spell the start of an uncomfortable night for Jeremy Corbyn.
Nine other key seats across the North and Midlands are expected to be among those declared by 3am. All share three things: they are voted Leave in 2016 and have a Labour MP.
Boris Johnson (pictured today in Wales) will gain early signs of how his campaign to be returned to Downing Street is going with a host of key seats determined in the dead of night
Labour is defending a majority of almost 4,000 in Workington and the most recent poll suggests they could hold it, so a swing to the Tories here could spell the start of an uncomfortable night for Jeremy Corbyn (pictured today in Glasgow)
Darlington in County Durham is due to be next up around 1.30am, followed by Wrexham in north Wales and Stockton South, both of which voted 58 per cent in favour of Leave, at 2am along with Burnley (66 per cent Leave).
The other five are due around 3am: Great Grimsby (71 per cent Leave), Peterborough (63 per cent), Blackpool South (68 per cent), Newcastle-under-Lyme (62 per cent) and Bishop Aukland (60 per cent).
Mr Johnson is on course to win the general election with a majority of 28 that would allow him to complete Brexit, according to the YouGov polling analysis which correctly predicted a hung parliament in 2017.
But that majority is down from 68 seats a fortnight ago and the analysis also shows some of his top ministers, including Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab, could lose their seats.
YouGov’s final MRP model predicts that the Conservatives will win 339 seats, with Jeremy Corbyn’s party on 231 and the Liberal Democrats on 15.
YouGov warned that the margin of error could put the Tory seat total as low as 311, which would mean another hung parliament.
The Conservatives are predicted to gain 22 seats, including in Labour heartlands such as Ashfield, Bassetlaw and Tony Blair’s former seat of Sedgefield.
However, there are signs that Labour is ‘patching the cracks’ in its so-called ‘red wall’ of seats across the North and the Midlands.
Conservative strategists fear that an ugly row over the NHS on Monday has damaged their campaign and candidates say the election is now ‘on a knife edge’.
The Tories’ shrinking lead means that Labour are now on course to retain Tory target seats such as Tom Watson’s former constituency of West Bromwich East.
The impact of Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage’s decision to only run in Labour-held seats will also be revealed.
Here is how election night is shaping to pan out:
10pm
Polling stations close, followed immediately by the publication of the exit poll. It will be announced live on the BBC, ITV and Sky News, and will offer the first clues as to how the night will unfold. At each of the past few elections, the exit poll has produced a very accurate projection of the actual result.
By 11pm
Two constituencies are racing to be first to declare: Houghton and Sunderland South and Newcastle-upon-Tyne Central.
Both results are expected around 11pm and both are safe Labour seats, so it will be the change in Labour’s share of the vote – and the size of a potential swing to the Conservatives – that will be most useful in providing further clues to the overall election result.
There should also be the first indications of turnout.
By 12am
Four more safe Labour seats are likely to have declared, all in north-east England.
Again, look out for any evidence of a change in Labour’s vote share and a possible swing to the Conservatives.
By 1am
Nigel Farage took his Brexit party campaign to Workington, but will he steal votes off Labour and hand it to the Tories, or visa versa?
Workington could be the first seat of the night to change hands.
If the Conservatives take it from Labour, Boris Johnson might be on course for a comfortable majority in the new parliament.
If Labour holds on, the overall result could be a lot closer.
North Down should be the first result of the night from Northern Ireland – a seat formerly held by the Independent MP Sylvia Hermon, and being targeted at this election by the DUP, the Ulster Unionists and the Alliance.
By 2am
Results will start to pick up. If Labour is doing well, they may take Carlisle, Putney, Thurrock and Vale of Glamorgan from the Conservatives.
If Labour is doing badly, they could see the likes of Stockton South, Wrexham and West Bromwich West being gained by the Tories.
Plaid Cymru will hope to hold Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd, while the DUP will be looking to keep Lagan Valley, Londonderry East and Strangford.
The first results will come from Scottish seats being defended by the SNP, such as Dunbartonshire West, and Lanark and Hamilton East.
By 3am
Labour might defeat Iain Duncan Smith (left) in Chingford and Woodford Green, while the Lib Dems could take Esher and Walton from Dominic Raab (right)
A flood of results is expected. Former Tory MP Dominic Grieve is hoping to win Beaconsfield as an Independent.
The Lib Dems will want to hold Brecon and Radnorshire, which they gained from the Conservatives earlier in the year, and retake Nick Clegg’s former seat of Sheffield Hallam from Labour.
Labour might defeat Iain Duncan Smith in Chingford and Woodford Green, while the Lib Dems could take Esher and Walton from Dominic Raab.
The result is due from Dartford, a bellwether seat since 1964.
The SNP have their eyes on the Tory seats of Ochil and Perthshire South and Stirling. If Labour is having a good night, they will be making gains in places like Telford and Worcester.
If the Tories are performing well, they will hope to take seats like Great Grimsby (a Labour seat since 1945), Bishop Auckland (Labour seat since 1935) and Don Valley (Labour since 1922).
Jeremy Corbyn’s result in Islington North is due, as is Jo Swinson’s result in Dunbartonshire East. Sinn Fein will be hoping to keep their marginal seat Foyle.
By 4am
Over half of the results will be in, and the overall trend of the night should be clear.
Labour targets such as Harrow East, Loughborough and Milton Keynes South will declare, likewise Lib Dem targets like St Albans and Cheltenham. All are being defended by the Conservatives.
Labour will hope to hold the ultra-marginal seats of Canterbury and Crewe and Nantwich, as well as Ipswich, Lincoln and Rother Valley, which are all Tory targets.
Plaid Cymru is defending Ceredigion against challenges from the Lib Dems, Labour and the Tories.
The SNP will hope to hold Fife North East and with a larger margin than they managed in 2017, when they had a majority of just two.
The Ulster Unionists are hoping to take Fermanagh and South Tyrone from Sinn Fein.
By 5am
By 5am Boris Johnson should know whether he’s safely back in Uxbridge and South Ruislip, where he won only a slim majority over Labour in 2017
Anna Soubry should have discovered whether she’s been able to hold Broxtowe for the Change party.
Boris Johnson should also know whether he’s safely back in Uxbridge and South Ruislip, where he won only a slim majority over Labour in 2017.
Kensington, another of Labour’s ultra-marginals, should have declared by now, although the result in 2017 needed several recounts and wasn’t confirmed until nearly 24 hours after polls closed.
The Lib Dems have a chance to make a couple of gains from the Tories in Cheadle and Hazel Grove, while the SNP could do likewise in Gordon.
Dennis Skinner could be unseated by the Conservatives in Bolsover, and other Labour seats at risk include Ashfield, Colne Valley and Keighley.
By 6am
Result should have slowed to a trickle.
A handful of seats in London could deliver some late upsets: Labour is hoping to take Chipping Barnet and Hendon from the Conservatives, while the Liberal Democrats could unseat the Tories in Finchley and Golders Green and Richmond Park.
The Lib Dems are also eyeing the Tory seat of Wells.
By 7am
Remainer Caroline Lucas will have discovered if she has been re-elected as the Green MP for Brighton Pavilion.
By 10am
There is the possibility of some very late gains for the Lib Dems in South West England, who are hoping to defeat the Tories in Cornwall North, St Austell and Newquay and St Ives.
Recounts could delay some of the declarations from earlier, but every seat is due to begin counting overnight so there is a good chance all 650 results will be in by mid-morning.