A snap general election now would see Theresa May tighten her grip on power despite the Brexit chaos while Corbyn faces LOSING seats, poll finds
- Theresa May would stay in power if an election was held today, a new poll finds
- YouGov predicts the Tories would gain four seats while Labour would lose 12
- With such a result, the Tories would then have just enough for a working majority
Speculation over a snap election was thrown into overdrive today by a shock poll suggesting Theresa May would stay in power and win more seats.
Amid Brexit deadlock at Westminster, research by YouGov found the Tories would currently boost their standing in the Commons.
Using the same model that correctly predicted the 2017 hung parliament, the firm estimated that Jeremy Corbyn’s party would lose 12 seats and the Tories would gain four.
That would give the Tories a wafer-thin effective majority even without support from the DUP – and dash Jeremy Corbyn’s hopes of seizing the keys to Downing Street.
Using the same model that correctly predicted the 2017 hung parliament, YouGov estimated that a snap election now would see Labour lose 12 seats and the Tories gain four
The YouGov poll is a blow for Jeremy Corbyn (pictured giving a speech over the weekend)
Such a result would take the Tories from 317 seats at the last general election to 321 – just enough for a working majority. Labour would drop from 262 to 250 seats.
The poll shows that the Lib Dems would gain four seats, giving them a total of 16. The SNP would also see their numbers increase by four, according to the research conducted for The Times.
There are 650 seats in the Commons but Sinn Fein’s seven MPs do not take their seats. The Speaker is also not counted.
YouGov polled 40,119 adults between February 2 and 7. The results were combined with the demographics of individual constituencies in England, Wales and Scotland to work out how each seat would swing.
The results do not take into account the effect of campaigning in an election.
The same approach was used for the 2017 election when a hung parliament was predicted. Most forecasts had predicted a substantial Tory majority.
Theresa May would stay in power and win more seats if a general election was held today, a new poll shows. The figures will be a blow for Mr Corbyn, who earlier this month repeated his calls for a general election [File photo]
The figures will be a blow for Mr Corbyn, who earlier this month repeated his calls for a general election.
Speaking in Glasgow while meeting organisations tackling poverty, the Labour leader said people suffering from austerity policies ‘need a general election now’.
A total of 321 seats for the Tories would increase Mrs May’s power but she would still struggle to push through Brexit policies. She could be thwarted by MPs on either side of her party.