Top pollster Frank Lutz reveals the crucial demographic that could catapult Kamala Harris into the White House

A top Republican pollster has said he believes Kamala Harris will win the race to the White House based on the votes of young women. 

Frank Luntz, a top GOP strategist, revealed on Friday night he expects her to win decisively in the upcoming election.

Speaking with CNN’s Anderson Cooper on his show AC360, Luntz said if the group turn out in big numbers it will be ‘great news for Harris’.

Cooper asked him about polls showing Harris now leading Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Luntz said he was done looking at the polling, saying it was determined now and had to turned his attention to turnout and the votes of young women

Speaking with CNN ‘s Anderson Cooper on his show AC360, Luntz said that if the group turn out in big numbers it will be ‘great news for Harris’

With just a few days left until the election, polls have pointed towards Trump being edged out of the so-called 'blue wall' states by Harris, seen here in Wisconsin on Friday

With just a few days left until the election, polls have pointed towards Trump being edged out of the so-called ‘blue wall’ states by Harris, seen here in Wisconsin on Friday 

He said: ‘I’m not looking as much at the polling anymore because that’s determined. I don’t believe there are any more undecideds. 

‘There are still non-committeds, There are still persuadable. But if you’re undecided, you reject both candidates. You don’t like them. You’re not going to end up voting for them. 

‘To me, I’m trying to figure out what the turnout’s going to be. And the group that I’m watching more than any other are young women. 

‘If they come out in significant numbers, if they make a bigger percentage of the overall voter pool, then that is great news for Harris. That may propel her.’

He also said that he is closely watching Hispanic voters especially after a recent Trump rally in Madison Square Garden which saw speakers say racist remarks. 

Luntz added: ‘The other group that I’m watching, the Latinos, some of that has been muddied over what happened in Madison Square Garden earlier this week.

‘But the Latino population is voting in good numbers in the Western states, and that’s critical in Arizona and Nevada. What they do could also be decisive.’ 

With just a few days left until the election, polls have pointed towards Trump being edged out of the so-called ‘blue wall’ states by Harris. 

Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump is seen here during a campaign stop in Wisconsin on Friday

Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump is seen here during a campaign stop in Wisconsin on Friday 

Voters fill out ballots during in-person early voting at Hamilton County Board of Elections, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, in Cincinnati

Voters fill out ballots during in-person early voting at Hamilton County Board of Elections, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, in Cincinnati

The Marist poll found Harris is up three points over Trump in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent. 

It shows her also up in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by two points, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.

All three are within the margin of error. But if Harris locks in the three ‘blue wall’ states, she will clinch the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House.

In Michigan, Harris has opened a six point lead among Independent voters, the polling found. She leads Trump among Independents 52 percent to 46 percent. 

More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan. 

Among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, Harris has 63 percent. But Trump leads by those who have yet to vote by 59 percent.

In Pennsylvania, the polling shows a dramatic 19-point sift among Independent voters from the polling in September when Trump had a four point lead.

It has Harris at 55 percent among Independents while Trump has 40 percent of their support. 

The vice president has a greater edge there than when Biden won the state in 2020. More than 1.6 million people have already voted in The Keystone State.

Pennsylvania is the only battleground that does not have early in-person voting, so people have to their mail back mail ballots or drop them off in person. 

Meanwhile in Wisconsin, the vice president also has a six point lead among Independent voters, 51 percent to 45 percent.

Harris appears to have also somewhat closed the gap with white voters. While Trump still leads among white voters by two points, it’s a smaller margin than he led by in 2020 against Biden and still lost the state.

More than 1.2 million people have already voted in Wisconsin. Harris leads among those who have cast their ballots by fourteen points, 57 percent to 43 percent.

It comes after DailyMail.com’s final poll before election day showing Trump has now overtaken Harris.

The former president now holds a three-point lead over the current Vice President, with Trump picking up support from independents and undecided voters. 

New data, which has margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, shows that Trump is trending up, with the support of 49 percent to Harris’ 46 percent. 

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Read more at DailyMail.co.uk