Australia’s immigration rate surges by a record 518,000 in one year – but Labor is now accusing critics of excessive population growth of ‘playing politics’

A record 518,100 migrants moved to Australia in a year with Labor now accusing critics of ‘playing politics’ as population growth hits the highest level since the early 1950s.

Net overseas arrivals made up 83 per cent of Australia’s population growth in the 2022-23 financial year, new Australian Bureau of Statistics data released on Thursday showed.

In the year to June, a record 518,100 migrants moved to Australia, compared with 106,100 net births for an annual growth pace of 624,100.

The net immigration figure was even higher than the 510,000 number Treasury forecast in this week’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

As recently as the May Budget, Treasury was predicting 400,000 migrants moving to Australia in 2022-23.

A record 518,100 migrants moved to Australia in a year with Labor now accusing critics of ‘playing politics’ as population growth hits the highest levels since the early 1950s (pictured is Sydney’s Town Hall train station)

Treasury’s updated forecasts, released on Wednesday, had 1.625million migrants moving to Australia in the five years to June 2027.

This was much higher than the 1.495million over five years predicted in May. 

Home Affairs Minister Clare O’Neil on Monday promised to reduce overall arrivals by 185,000 over four years, by cracking down on international students gaming the visa system.

But the government’s own Treasury figures predicted 1.805million migrants would have arrived in the five years to mid-2027 without this reduction. 

Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday night accused Opposition Leader Peter Dutton of ‘playing politics’ when asked about his assertion Australia’s population was growing at a faster pace than previously predicted.

‘Peter Dutton is notorious for playing politics with these kinds of issues and he knows almost nothing about the economy,’ he told the ABC’s 7.30 program.

‘He should know that what we’re talking about here is there would be 180,000 on top of those different forecasts had we not taken the steps that we proposed to take on Monday when Clare released the Migration Strategy.’

Laura Tingle, 7.30’s summer host, noted Mr Dutton had quoted Treasury’s MYEFO figures released this week but she failed to challenge Dr Chalmers on this spin.

Australia’s population growth pace of 2.4 per cent during the last financial year, or double the 1.2 per cent pace of two decades ago.

Labor’s new migration forecasts

WITH VISA CRACKDOWN: 1.625million in the five years to June 2027 including 510,000 in 2022-23; 375,000 2023-24; 250,000 in 2024-25; 255,000 in 2025-26; and 235,000 in 2026-27

WITHOUT VISA CRACKDOWN: 1.805million in the five years to June 2027 including 510,000 in 2022-23; 440,000 in 2023-24; 305,000 in 2024-25; 285,000 in 2025-26; and 265,000 in 2026-27

MAY BUDGET FORECAST: 1.495million in the five years to June 2027 including 400,000 in 2022-23; 315,000 in 2023-24; 260,000 in 2024-25; 260,000 in 2025-26; and 260,000 in 2026-27

Source: Treasury Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook, December 2023 and Treasury May Budget 2023

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