- The German Army has been preparing for six potential scenarios for 2040
- One is that other nations follow Brexit, resulting in ‘increasingly disorderly’ world
- Another was that Eastern and Central Europe unites to form one singe bloc
The German Army has been using war games to simulate the EU being dismantled as one of six security catastrophes that could play out by 2040.
Strategists envisaged a situation where more countries follow Britain’s footsteps out of the bloc and the world becomes ‘increasingly disorderly’.
Other scenarios include one where some eastern European states halt progress in EU integration and others enter the ‘Eastern bloc’, a likely reference to Russia and its allies.
The German Army has been using war games to simulate the dismantling of the EU as one of six security catastrophes that could play out by 2040 (file image of German soldiers)
Two scenarios in the army’s study saw a comeback of Russian-style ‘state capitalism’ in some EU countries and a halt in globalisation.
A further two envisaged a more peaceful world.
The study, cited by Der Spiegel, says: ‘The EU enlargement has been largely abandoned, more states have left the bloc.
‘The increasingly disorderly, sometimes chaotic and conflictual world has dramatically changed the security policy environment for Germany and Europe.’
The magazine said the study would be followed by concrete armaments plans to be developed in the coming years.
Strategists envisaged a situation where more countries follow Britain’s footsteps out of the bloc and the world becomes ‘increasingly disorderly’ (file image)
A Defence Ministry spokesman said on Sunday the study, labelled Strategic Perspective 2040, made ‘robust predictions’ but did not attach probabilities to them or trigger decisions.
He declined to comment about the content of the report, which is confidential.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel has said the EU risked running into trouble unless it allowed members to participate at varying levels of intensity, with those using the euro currency pulling closer together.