A Republican strategist revealed that internal polling has arrived and operatives inside President Donald Trump’s campaign are concerned they ‘aren’t where they need to be.’
Margaret Hoover appeared on CNN’s The Source Wednesday and told host Kaitlan Collins that early voting numbers point to ‘real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure.’
‘I think their internals are actually giving them pause,’ said Hoover, who worked on George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign and Rudy Giuliani’s failed 2008 run for the White House.
‘They do have a lot of resources for polling – more than public media companies have. And they’re probably seeing the same things that you guys are talking about, which is that there’s real groundswell in the early vote,’ she added.
A higher number of registered Democrats, over 11 million, have voted so far, compared to 10.5 million registered Republicans, according to data from 25 states that report party registration.
Margaret Hoover said she’s heard from Republican insiders that ‘there is concern at the Trump campaign…that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers aren’t where they need to be’
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are polling neck and neck nationally, with many swing states within a few percentage points or fewer
Given these numbers, Hoover said Republicans are telling her there is ‘concern’ among Trump campaign operatives.
‘I have heard from Republicans that there is concern at the Trump campaign amongst the operatives that actually really do know the political wherewithal that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers aren’t where they need to be,’ Hoover said.
As Election Day inches closer, now less than a week away, Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in most public polls, and according to Hoover, the internal polls are showing the much the same thing.
Nearly 60 million people have already voted in the 2024 election, including those who voted by mail and in-person, according to the latest figures from the University of Florida’s Election Lab.
That’s about 37 percent of the total turnout in the 2020 election, which saw more than 158 million people vote.
CNN commentator David Axelrod, who served in the Obama Administration, reminded the panel that ‘this is a really, really close election.’
‘Nobody knows what the hell’s gonna happen,’ he said. ‘And we’re gonna know sometime next week, hopefully what the answer is.’
People in Washington DC start to early vote on October 29, 2024, at the Columbia Heights Community Center
Polling averages from The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight have Harris ahead nationally by 1.4 percentage points at most, while the RealClearPolitics average has Trump leading by 0.4 points.
Across all three aggregators, the closest swing states are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada.
Joe Biden won all four of those states in 2020.
Trump has a decisive lead in betting markets, with 58 percent of people on betting site Kalshi putting their money on the prospect that he’ll get a second term.
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, which has become America’s first legal online election wagering platform, said it has taken in more than $92 million in bets tied to the 2024 race.
‘We should definitely trust the [wagering] markets,’ Mansour told DailyMail.com this week.
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, says election bettors are more accurate than pollsters because they have ‘skin in the game.’
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin has said that former president Donald Trump is expected to win the election next week
Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller has said that the stock market is ‘convinced’ that Donald Trump will win the presidential election
Top stock market investors also appear convinced that Trump will be the next president.
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin said that although he thinks Trump will be victorious on Tuesday, he also believes the margin will be razor-thin.
Griffin has contributed around $100 million to the Republican party this election cycle, Bloomberg reported.
Stan Druckenmiller, another hedge funder and founder of the Duquesne Family Office, said the market appears ‘very convinced’ that the former president will win.
Some said the fact that the stock for Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology (DJT), jumped over 22 percent after his Sunday rally at Madison Square Garden was a sign that Wall Street was preparing for another Trump term.
Shares have since leveled off, dropping nearly five percent since the market opened on Monday morning.
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