Presidential polls latest: Kamala Harris takes shock 24-point lead over Donald Trump with key group

Kamala Harris has a 24-point lead with voters who just decided in the last month, according to a new poll.

Harris is ahead 60 percent to 36 percent with those voters, according to the Emerson College poll.

The time period roughly aligns with the five weeks that have elapsed since the presidential debate between Harris and Trump on September 10.

The poll showed 80 percent of voters made up their mind over a month ago, and trump led 52 percent to 48 percent with that group.

Only 11 per cent made their decision in the last month.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling said:

The 3 percent of voters who said they could still change their mind currently favor Harris, 48 percent to 43 percent.

By Emily Goodin in Berlin, Germany

President Biden dodged sensitive questions about Donald Trump after meeting with key European allies in Germany Friday. Asked if his predecessor came up in discussions, Biden joked to reporters traveling with him, ‘I don’t know who my predecessor is.’

Later, asked by DailyMail.com about the upcoming election and if fellow leaders are worried, Biden paused. ‘They’re interested,’ was his curt reply.

Biden said there is unanimity on ‘continuing to support what’s going on in Ukraine’ amid concerns about keeping military aid flowing.

On Israel in Iran, Biden said there was probably a way to deal with Israel and Iran ‘in a way that ends the conflict for a while.’ He said in response to a question he knew what Israel will do to respond to Iran’s missile attack and when, but would reveal the information.

By Nikki Schwab, Chief Campaign Correspondent

Singer Marc Anthony endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris Friday in a new ad, recalling how former President Donald Trump threw paper towels at Puerto Ricans and called them ‘dirty and poor.’

The New York born Puerto Rican artist filmed an ad for the Democratic nominee entitled ‘Recuerdo’ – or ‘memory.’

Even though some have forgotten, I remember what it was like when Trump was president. I remember what he did and said about Puerto Rico, about our people. I remember after Hurricane Maria devastated our island, Trump blocked billions in relief while thousands died. I remember when our families lacked clean water and electricity, Trump threw paper towels and called Puerto Rico “dirty and poor.”

I was not surprised. Because I also remember he launched his campaign by calling Latinos “criminals” and “rapists.” He told us what he’ll do. He’ll separate children from their families, and threaten to use the Army to do it.

By Geoff Earle, Deputy U.S. Political Editor

Donald Trump once again flagged Walter Mondale’s landslide loss to Ronald Reagan Friday as a warning for rival Kamala Harris Friday.

He referenced the historic thumping because Mondale, the late Minnesota former vice president from Minnesota, was the last Democratic nominee to skip the dinner, which raises funds for Catholic charities and brings together some of New York’s biggest plutocrats.

‘I think it was terrible that she missed it, because it’s only been one person missed it in many years, and that’s Walter Mondale, who lost 49-to-one,’ Trump said on Fox & Friends. Harris sent in a video sketch instead.

Trump is right about the lopsided result. Reagan, who was running for reelection, creamed Mondale in the Electoral College, garnering 525 electoral votes to Mondale’s 13. Mondale only carried his home state in the blowout.

The race wasn’t all that close in the popular vote either, with Reagan getting about 17 million more that Mondale. That compares to Joe Biden beating Trump by about 7 million votes in 2024 – and polls showiong a razor-tight margin separating Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

Like the 2024 election, 1984 featured undercurrents of of race and gender. Mondale had to get by Rep. Jesse Jackson and other contenders in a crowded primary. After prevailing, he named Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate, making her the first woman to get a major party nomination. Mondale’s most memorable line was when he asked ‘Where’s the beef?’, in a dig at rival Sen. Gary Hart.

As it turns out, in the same interview on Fox where he brought up Mondale’s loss, Trump named Reagan as his favorite president and the cow as his favorite farm animal (he fielded softball questions from children).

Reagan’s age was also an issue in his bid for reelection. He was 73 at the time, five years younger than Trump is now and eight years younger than President Biden, who was forced to step back from his reelecction bid.

North Carolina voters broke records on the first day of in-person early voting in the battelground state on Thrusday.

A whoppping 353,166 ballots were cast across the state, according to early data from the State Board of Elections.

The first day of early voting broke the record set in 2020 when 348,559 people cast ballots on the first day of early voting.

As of Friday morning, 428,299 ballots had been cast in the state including the first day of in-person early voting and more than 75,000 absentee ballots.

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent

Friday brings another update to our election model by our friends at J.L. Partners, but it is broadly steady in showing a Trump victory in 61.4 percent of simulations. That means our overall assessment remains ‘lean Trump’ for the result.

The model now includes nearly 850 polls, with 246 national polls, 76 Pennsylvania polls and 53 Arizona polls.

Nevada and Pennsylvania have moved ever so slightly back to Kamala Harris, while Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin have all moved a touch towards Trump.

None of that changes the overall electoral college result, which is still most likely to come out 312-226 in favor of Trump.

As Callum Hunter, data scientist at J.L. Partners puts it in his latest briefing:

Movements are small across the board. The race has settled into its final furlongs and Trump is leading Harris by a head. But remember this is a probability model so we are still saying Harris wins in one in three scenarios. The model is showing a clear crystallization in favor of Trump and there appears to be little that can dislodge the model from this conclusion. Although there have been some movements against Trump in places like Nevada, he remains in a good position in Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Donald Trump roasted the group ‘White Dudes for Harris’ Thursday night at the Al Smith fundraiser dinner.

Taking the mic at the glamorous Catholic charity event, Trump ripped zinger after zinger, repeatedly calling out members of the crowd as well.

But ‘White Dudes for Harris’ – a coalition of white men backing the Democratic presidential nominee – drew the ex-president’s special attention.

‘There’s a group called ‘White Dudes for Harris,’ he began. ‘But I’m not worried about them at all, because their wives and their wives’ lovers are all voting for me.’

Donald Trump is responding to Kamala Harris’s escalating attacks on him as ‘unhinged’ by calling himself a ‘stable genius.’

He issued a withering attack on his Democratic rival on Fox & Friends when responding Harris attack ads saying he’s ‘unstable and unhinged.’

Trump called it a ‘pretty rough question’ when cohost Ainsley Earhardt rang through a string of such attacks.

Trump then tore into Harris and her intelligence, branding Democrats ‘misinformation people.’

‘She’s a low IQ person. She’s not smart. Everyone knows that. Didn’t even pass her law exam. It was a big thing,’ he said, pointing to Harris’ initial failure to pass the California bar.

Vice President Kamala Harris is bringing out the Democrat heavy-hitters as her campaign sees a slip in the polls.

The VP will campaign alongside both former President Obama and First Lady Michelle next week as the presidential race is in the dead heat for the final stretch.

First Harris will be joined by the former president for a rally in Georgia on Thursday, October 24. It will be their first campaign event together with Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee.

Then on Saturday, October 26, the former first lady will appear with the vice president at a rally in Michigan.

The blockbuster rally next Saturday will be the former first lady’s first in-person campaign event with Harris as well as her first time on the trail in 2024.

By Geoffrey Earle, deputy u.s. political editor

Donald Trump spoke on Fox & Friends about how ‘badly’ he beat Nikki Haley and other Republican opponents, amid reports he is in talks to team up with his former rival on the campaign trail.

He was asked about the need to do better among women, where Kamala Harris is beating him in polls. ‘I think I do very well with women, and I think it’s all nonsense. I see the polls, and we do well.’ He didn’t respond to part of the question about whether Melania Trump or Ivanka would be out on the trail with him.

He got asked if he would call Haley to get her to come out on the campaign trail with him. ‘Yeah, I’ll do what I have to do,’ Trump responded, before speaking about how badly he trounced her (she was the last Republican standing).

‘Let me just tell you Nikki Haley and I fought, and I beat her by 50, 60, 90 points. I beat her in her own state by numbers that nobody’s ever been beaten by. I beat Nikki badly.’

Trump appeared to tire of reports on joining up with his former rival. ‘And they keep talking about Nikki, Nikki. I like Nikki. Nikki, I don’t think should have done what she did, and that’s fine that she did it … And then they say, oh, when is Nikki coming back in? Nikki is in. Nikki is helping us already … Everybody is in, and Nikki is already in.’

Trump on Fox & Friends Friday morning claimed that Harris had not passed the critical test to become an attorney.

Harris failed her first attempt at the exam in 1989, but she passed one year later in 1990.

Harris worked for years as a lawyer in California, and as the state’s attorney general, before being elected to the Senate.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House Correspondent in Berlin

President Joe Biden is meeting with key European partners to cement support for the war in the Ukraine.

He’s sitting down with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

Biden is trying to sooth international relations ahead of America’s presidential election. And trying to ensure Ukraine has what it needs to expel Russian forces.

‘As Ukraine faces a tough winter, we must — we must — sustain our resolve, our effort and our support,’ Biden said.

‘And I know the cost is heavy. Make no mistake, it pales in comparison to the cost of living in the world where aggression prevails, where large states attack and bully smaller ones simply because they can.’

Kamala Harris is expected to continue Biden’s support of Ukraine. But Donald Trump has said Russia would never have invaded Ukraine if he had been president.

By Geoff Earle, deputy u.s. political editor

Donald Trump was back on camera Friday morning after singing notables during a black tie speech to the Al Smith Dinner Thursday night, once again hammering Kamala Harris for skipping the same event.

Trump appeared to roll in late to the Fox News studios, and had a mic attached to his lapel during the live broadcast on Fox & Friends.

He called it a ‘terrible mistake’ that Harris missed it, sending a video instead. ‘It’s only been one person missed it in many years, and that’s Walter Mondale, who lost 49 to one. Asked why Harris didn’t go, Trump said, ‘I think that she’s not competent.’

Trump got a fair amount of laughs in his own remarks in between his attacks on Harris. He said he went too far in his famously harsh routine with Hillary Clinton in at the 2016 dinner.

‘Your material was really funny. Who wrote it?’ asked cohost Steve Doocy.

‘I had a lot of people helping, a lot of people. A couple people from Fox, actually. I shouldn’t say that, but they wrote some jokes. For the most part, I didn’t like any of them.’

Early voting started in three more states with just 18 days to the election.

It comes days after swing state Georgia kicked off early voting – to record numbers.

328,000 Georgians cast early in-person or mail votes, more than double the previous record of 136,000 in 2020, the year that Joe Biden scraped through with less than 12,000 votes.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House Correspondent in Berlin

President Joe Biden urged NATO allies to keep backing Ukraine during his visit to Germany.

He met Chancellor Olaf Scholz, before they were to hold four-way talks with French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. The leaders will discuss the wars in the Ukraine and Middle East.

‘We are supporting Ukraine as powerfully as we can and at the same time we are making sure that NATO does not become a party to the war, so that this war does not turn into an even bigger catastrophe,’ Scholz said.

‘America and Germany are the two largest supporters of Ukraine in its fight for survival …. I know the cost is heavy but it pales in comparison to the cost of living in a world where aggression prevails, where large states attack smaller ones simply because they can,’ Biden said.

Lip reader Jeremy Freeman deciphered their chat for DailyMail.com, leading to speculation that they were talking about Vice President Kamala Harris’ chances of winning the White House.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House Correspondent in Berlin

President Joe Biden received the Order of Merit of the Federal Republic of Germany as part of his state visit.

Biden started his one-day trip with a meeting with German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier and a formal review of the troops.

Steinmeier then gave him the Order of Merit. President George H.W. Bush is the only other U.S. president to have received the Order of Merit, in 1994, for strengthening the U.S.-German relationship in the aftermath of the Cold War.

Steinmeier noted that 44 years ago when Biden came to Germany as a senator a German civil servant noted at the time noted the then-senator would become ‘a significant political figure.’

‘When you were elected president you restored Europe’s hope in the transatlantic alliance literally overnight,’ he told Biden.

Biden, in his acceptance speech, spoke of the importance of alliances.

‘Germany and the United States stood together to support the great people Ukraine in their fight for freedom, democracy, for their very survival,’ he said.

He noted of Ukraine: ‘We’re headed into a very difficult winter and we cannot let up.’

Fox News’ tumultuous interview with Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris Wednesday evening received blockbuster ratings.

The highly anticipated primetime interview between host Bret Baier and Harris racked up over 7.1 million live viewers, according to the outlet.

That audience size means it was the most widely watched cable news interview of the 2024 election season, grabbing more eyes than any sit-down Donald Trump has done this year.

‘This seating arrangement is weird, right? I mean, it looks like the plutocrats are about to play Family Feud! And the survey says… whatever you want!’