Stats boffins predict how many medals Team GB will win at Paris Olympics – so, who is tipped to join Adam Peaty and Keely Hodgkinson in bagging a gold?

Team GB have been tipped to win 63 medals at Paris 2024 – one fewer than at Tokyo 2020.

Ahead of Friday’s opening ceremony, sports data boffins Gracenote have published their final predictions for the Olympics and have forecast Great Britain will finish fourth in the medal table, behind USA, China and hosts France.

UK Sport – the Olympic funding agency – last month said they wanted Team GB to win between 50 and 70 medals and finish in the top five.

If Gracenote’s prediction proves correct, Britain would comfortably meet that target but fall short of the top of UK Sport’s medal range, which would be a post-war and overseas record haul.

Gracenote, a company owned by US market research giant Nielsen, produce a ‘virtual medal table’ using a statistical model based on individual and team results in previous Olympics, World Championships and World Cups.

 Gracenote have predicted Team GB will win 63 medals (pictured – GB gymnastics team)

According to them, Team GB will win 17 golds, 20 silvers and 26 bronzes in Paris. USA are tipped to claim 112 medals, China 86 and France 60. But the haul of the host nation would include 27 golds, which would put them above Britain in the medal table. 

At the last Olympics in Tokyo three years ago, Team GB won 22 golds, 20 silvers and 22 bronzes and finished fourth in the table.

Britain secured a post-war record 67 medals at Rio 2016, including 27 golds, bettering their tally of 65 at London 2012, when they scooped 29 golds.

Team GB’s predicted gold medallists include Keely Hodgkinson in the 800 metres and Matthew Hudson-Smith in the 400m. Both athletes, who won silvers at last year’s World Championships, set new British records and world-leading times at last weekend’s Diamond League meeting in London.

Adam Peaty is forecast to win his third successive 100m breaststroke title, while Tom Pidcock is tipped to defend his cross-country mountain bike title.

Gracenote’s virtual medal table has backed Keely Hodgkinson to win gold in the 800m

Elsewhere, swimmer Adam Peaty is forecast to win his third successive 100m breaststroke title

Bryony Page is predicted to claim gold in trampolining after a bronze and silver at the last two Games, Bradly Sinden is expected to upgrade his taekwondo silver, while Joe Clarke and Kimberley Woods are both forecast to win the new canoe slalom cross events.

Britain’s most successful sport is tipped to be rowing, with six gold medals, after failing to win a single final in Tokyo.