Tories are set to win a 68-seat majority at the general election according to new poll analysis

Tories are set to win a 68-seat majority at the general election – but see their poll lead SHRINK in a warning sign to Boris Johnson after his ‘safety first’ manifesto launch

  • The Conservatives’ lead contracted from 10 points in a week according to ICM
  • Tories down one point and Labour up two to give PM a seven-point lead   
  • PM had adopted a safety-first strategy avoiding possibly contentious policies

Boris Johnson’s Tories are on course for a 68-seat Commons majority that would pave the way for Brexit. according to new opinion poll analysis today. 

The Conservatives would win 359 seats, allowing the Prime Minister to push through his deal before the end of January deadline set by Brussels.

Analysis of poll results by the website Electoral Calculus comes as a new poll – not included in its research – shows the Tories’ lead being slashed to just seven points.

The Conservatives’ lead contracted from 10 points in a week according to a survey by ICM for Reuters carried out before and after the party’s manifesto launch yesterday.

Mr Johnson’s party was down one point but Jeremy Corbyn’s opposition was up by two per cent after launching its own giveaway bonanza ahead of the December 12 election. 

After a succession of double-digit opinion poll leads for the Prime Minister his party had adopted a safety-first strategy, avoiding eye-catching and possibly contentious policies.  

Mr Johnson's party was down one point but Jeremy Corbyn's (pictured today) opposition was up by two per cent after launching its own giveaway bonanza ahead of the election

Mr Johnson’s party was down one point but Jeremy Corbyn’s (pictured today) opposition was up by two per cent after launching its own giveaway bonanza ahead of the election

The PM took a pair of scissors to the North Country Cheviot as he toured the agricultural show in the marginal Brecon and Radnorshire constituency

The PM took a pair of scissors to the North Country Cheviot as he toured the agricultural show in the marginal Brecon and Radnorshire constituency

The pro-European Union Liberal Democrats were unchanged on 13 per cent while the Brexit Party was down one point on 4 per cent. 

The PM has been campaigning in Wales after unveiling a programme  focusing on pledges to get the UK out of the EU, recruit more nurses, and cut taxes. 

Jeremy Corbyn has put forward an eye-watering £83billion a year in day-to-day spending, plus hundreds of billions on nationalisation – including the state seizing chunks of BT to offer everyone free broadband.

In an apparent sign of desperation yesterday, shadow chancellor John McDonnell announced another £58billion would be handed to women pensioners – despite the measure not having been costed in its manifesto.            

Mr Johnson described road tunnels linking south Wales with England to ‘the nostrils of the Welsh dragon’ today, pledging that the Tories would their ‘Vicks inhaler’ salvation.

The Prime Minister made the bizarre analogy as he launched the Conservatives’ Welsh manifesto on a visit to the principality.

But he outlined plans to boost access to the cities of Cardiff and Swansea via the M4 motorway in south Wales at the audience at a racecourse near Wrexham in north Wales.

‘Where Welsh Labour has failed with the M4 bypass … the Brynglas tunnels… I’m told the Brynglas tunnels are currently like the nostrils of the Welsh dragon, currently blocked,’ he said.

‘We are going to apply the Vicks inhaler to the Brynglas tunnels. We are going to get it done.’  

The Prime Minister made the bizarre analogy as he launched the Conservatives' Welsh manifesto on a visit to the principality

The Prime Minister made the bizarre analogy as he launched the Conservatives’ Welsh manifesto on a visit to the principality

He outlined plans to boost access to the cities of Cardiff and Swansea via the M4 motorway in south Wales at the audience at a racecourse near Wrexham in north Wales

He outlined plans to boost access to the cities of Cardiff and Swansea via the M4 motorway in south Wales at the audience at a racecourse near Wrexham in north Wales

The 404-yard tunnels under Brynglas Hill near Newport take the M4 from the English border on to urban centres in south Wales.

But the 1960s engineering feat only allowed for two lanes in either direction and they are now a major bottleneck on traffic.

Plans to widen the tunnels or bore another have not got past the ideas stage. 

Mr Johnson visited two constituencies today which the Tories hope to win at the election. 

He appeared before supporters at the Bangor-on-Dee racecourse to launch the party’s Welsh manifesto.

It was a return for the Prime Minister to the Clwyd South constituency, where he stood for election in 1997.

He said: ‘It’s fantastic to be here in Clwyd South. A fulfilment of a lifetime’s mission. I started this project 22 years ago, I hope very much to get a Conservative MP returned for Clwyd South.’

Earlier he trimmed a sheep and served beef and lamb baps as he got stuck into country life at the Royal Welsh Winter Fair.

Mr Johnson toured the fair with the Conservative candidate Fay Jones, and served several beef and lamb baps at a food stall - donning an apron as he asked customers: "Can I interest you in a lamb bap?"

Mr Johnson toured the fair with the Conservative candidate Fay Jones, and served several beef and lamb baps at a food stall – donning an apron as he asked customers: ‘Can I interest you in a lamb bap?’

A load of bull: Mr Johnson at the Royal Welsh Winter Fair in Llanelwedd today

A load of bull: Mr Johnson at the Royal Welsh Winter Fair in Llanelwedd today

The Prime Minister took a pair of scissors to the North Country Cheviot as he toured the agricultural show in the marginal Brecon and Radnorshire constituency.

The seat was won by the Liberal Democrats’ Jane Dodds earlier this year at a by-election triggered by a recall petition after Tory Chris Davies was convicted of faking expenses claims.

Mr Johnson toured the fair with the Conservative candidate Fay Jones, and served several beef and lamb baps at a food stall – donning an apron as he asked customers: ‘Can I interest you in a lamb bap?’

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