Two reasons why a major party has suffered another huge slump days out from the election

By CHARLOTTE MCINTYRE FOR DAILY MAIL AUSTRALIA

Published: 16:56 BST, 30 April 2025 | Updated: 18:19 BST, 30 April 2025

Peter Dutton has suffered a huge blow three days from the election as a new poll pinpointed why support has plummeted for the Coalition. 

Concerns about the Opposition Leader’s nuclear plan and global uncertainty caused by US President Donald Trump will likely see Prime Minister Anthony Albanese re-elected this Saturday.

The latest RedBridge-Accent poll for the Daily Telegraph found a dramatic slump in the Coalition’s primary vote, which has fallen from 42 per cent to 34 per cent – 1.7 per cent less than its disastrous 2022 election result under Scott Morrison.

By contrast, Labor’s primary vote has risen two points to 34 per cent since November – 1.4 per cent higher than when they won the 2022 election.  

The Albanese government has also extended its two-party-preferred lead by an extra point to 53 per cent in recent weeks. 

Global uncertainty concerns and scare campaigns came out as the top two reasons cited by voters for voting against a party.

Concerns Mr Dutton’s nuclear plan will cost $600billion and require cuts to fund it was also a major concern.

This was followed by concerns voters would be worse off under Mr Dutton’s government and Liberals cutting Medicare. 

Peter Dutton (pictured with Liberal supporters in Melbourne) faces a dramatic collapse in the Coalition’s primary vote which has fallen from 42 per cent to 34 per cent

Anthony Albanese (pictured) has extended Labor’s two-party-preferred lead to 53 per cent

Mr Dutton’s most successful scare campaign against Labor is concern this is the highest spending government in 40 years.

However, the aforementioned charges against the Coalition were all cited more frequently.

Meanwhile, the two most important reasons in deciding who voters would support were Labor promises. 

Mr Albanese’s promise to make nine out of ten GP visits bulk-billed and banning price gouging by supermarkets were the biggest vote drivers. 

The Coalition’s pledge to halve the fuel exercise for 12 months was the third most important reason followed by their promise to introduce a low and middle-income tax rebate of $1,200.

This promise was far more popular than Labor’s pledge of a $5 a week tax cut. 

Also attributing to Labor’s growing popularity is the support of Millennial and Gen Z voters.

One in five Millennial and Gen Z voters said they had changed their mind since the start of the election campaign five weeks ago.

Mr Dutton was on the campaign trail on Wednesday with Amelia Hamer, Liberal candidate for Kooyong in Melbourne’s inner-east (pictured)

Mr Albanese’s (pictured with fiancée Jodie Haydon) scare campaign against the Coalition has been successful

Accent’s Shaun Ratcliff said it ‘looks increasingly likely’ Labor will form government in its own right or as a minority with the support of crossbenchers.

‘They have run a disciplined campaign that came out the gates strong in February focusing on cost of living, health and housing, the three issues our research shows voters care about the most,’ he said.

‘Labor has also relentlessly hammered the Coalition on these same issues. 

‘Concerns around the cost of the Coalition’s nuclear power plan, that they will be worse off under the Coalition, and that a Liberal government will cut Medicare spending all rank highly as reasons deciding who voters’ will not support.’

RedBridge Director Tony Barry added: ‘Labor’s central campaign has cleverly defined the risk of change in these uncertain times.’

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Two reasons why a major party has suffered another huge slump days out from the election

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