New poll of battleground states predicts a rout by Joe Biden with Donald Trump trailing by at least six points as senior Senate Republican pleads for ‘change of tone’
- Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by at least six points in six new battleground state polls
- Biden leads Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina – all states Trump won in the 2016 contest
- A Biden win in any combo of the three states – along with winning all the states Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 – would hand him the White House
- Trump’s once strong lead among white voters has essentially vanished
- Biden also leading Trump among black voters with 92 per cent
- Some Republicans have advised President Trump to consider a change in tone
Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by at least six points in six new battleground state polls and a victory in three of them would be enough to hand the presumptive Democratic nominee the White House.
Trump beat rival Hillary Clinton in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina in the 2016 contest – a swath of victories that put him in the Oval Office.
But a new New York Times/Siena College surveys of those states shows the president has lost ground in all of them to Biden, with the Democrat holding a double digit lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Michigan: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 11 points, 47 per cent to 36
Wisconsin: Biden leads by 11 points, 49-38
Pennsylvania: Biden leads by 10 points, 50-40
Florida: Biden leads by 6 points, 47-41
Arizona: Biden leads by 7 points, 48-41
North Carolina: Biden leads by 9 points, 49-40
Source: New York Times/Siena College surveys
Additionally, Trump’s once strong lead among white voters has essentially vanished – a voting bloc that was key to his 2016 win. It was white working-class voters in battle states who catapulted Trump to victory.
Biden holds a 21-point lead among white college graduates in the new poll. And he holds the lead among Black registered voters, 92 per cent to Trump’s 5 per cent in a new Washington Post-Ipsos poll.
If Biden should win any combination of the three states in the poll – along with all the states Clinton carried in 2016 – he would have enough electoral college votes to capture the White House.
The Times noted those six states were chosen for the poll because of ‘their mix of major cities, old industrial hubs, growing suburbs, and even farmland.’
A separate New York Times/Siena poll released Wednesday gave Biden a 14 point national lead. And Biden leads Trump by 10 points in the Real Clear Politics polling average.
The new poll also reveals the frustration among voters is with Trump – not necessarily a strong outpouring of support for the former vice president.
The poll found that 55% of Biden voters say their vote is more against Trump while 80% of Trump voters say their vote is primarily for Trump.
Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by at least six points in six new battleground state polls – a victory in three would hand him the White House
It remains early in the general election contest – neither man has been formally nominated by their party yet, which will take at this summer’s political conventions – and with the election four months away it gives Trump plenty of time to turn his numbers around.
While additional polls have show voters give the president low marks on his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and race relations in the wake of the death of George Floyd, they give Trump high marks on the economy – an issue he has made central to his re-election platform.
Some Republicans, like Senate Majority Whip John Thune, a South Dakota Republican, have advised President Trump to consider a change in tone
President Trump, in recent remarks, has take a divisive tone, seizing on culture wars and using race-baiting language in his speeches to supporters.
He has referred to the coronavirus by the racial slur ‘Kung flu’ and demanded protection for statues of Confederate officials that Black Lives Matter protesters and state officials are taking down.
Several Republicans have suggested a change in tone, while noting Trump rarely takes advice.
‘He’s good with the base,’ Senate Majority Whip John Thune, a South Dakota Republican, told CNN Wednesday. ‘But all of the people who are going to decide in November are the people in the middle, and I think they want the President at a time like this … to strike a more empathetic tone.’
He added: ‘It’ll probably require not only a message that deals with substantive policy, but I think a message that conveys perhaps a different tone.’