The Yes campaign for the Indigenous Voice to Parliament is now doing so badly it’s struggling in wealthy postcodes that turned ‘teal’ at the last federal election, new polling shows.
UK polling firm Focaldata has the Voice winning the support of just 22 out of 151 House of Representatives electorates, with the strongest backers in gentrified and already left-leaning parts of Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra, Adelaide and Brisbane.
But, intriguingly, upmarket electorates that threw out Liberal MPs in favour of a climate-change focused ‘teal’ independents at the last election are comprehensively rejecting the Voice proposal – like most of Australia – ahead of the October 14 referendum.
The Voice is behind in six of the seven teal electorates – former Liberal Party strongholds in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth with Australia’s highest incomes and house prices.
These suburbs boast some of Australia’s most ridiculously expensive houses, are home to some of the country’s richest people, where Teslas and Range Rovers are often the vehicle of choice. Many have Sydney Harbour views.
Wealthy areas obsessed with climate change that strongly backed gay marriage and the republic are overwhelmingly rejecting the Voice, new polling shows (pictured is a couple on Sydney’s Bondi Beach in the electorate of Wentworth)
![UK polling firm Focal Data has the Voice winning the support of just 22 out of 151 House of Representatives electorates, with the strongest backers in gentrified and trendy parts of Sydney, Melbourne , Canberra, Adelaide and Brisbane](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2023/10/10/04/76363677-12609313-image-a-41_1696909288113.jpg)
UK polling firm Focal Data has the Voice winning the support of just 22 out of 151 House of Representatives electorates, with the strongest backers in gentrified and trendy parts of Sydney, Melbourne , Canberra, Adelaide and Brisbane
In these elite postcodes, residents typically earn more than $200,000 a year and go to the same shops as millionaire corporate chief executives who have thrown their company dollars behind the Yes campaign.
These ultra-rich electorates had the strongest support for gay marriage in the successful November 2017 postal vote survey, and backed the republic in 1999 when most of Australia said No.
Nationally, the No vote for the Voice is expected to get 61 per cent support, compared with 39 per cent for the Yes case, based on a poll of 4,500 Australians.
Social researcher Mark McCrindle, the founder of McCrindle Research, said the poor showing for the Voice, even in wealthy areas, showed support was soft for constitutional change.
‘They tend to be people that are rational, are educated, can engage in a sophisticated narrative and the narrative around this has not been convincing for them,’ Mr McCrindle told Daily Mail Australia.
‘As much as their heart might back something, these are people of the head so that’s where the problem has been.
‘The big factor here is the low level of trust that Australians have in governments and in bureaucracy.’
In Warringah, on Sydney’s northern beaches, the Voice had just 44 per cent support in Yes supporter Zali Steggall’s electorate, covering upmarket Mosman and Manly on Sydney Harbour.
This area was last year home to 385 Teslas, the 11th highest in Australia. This northern beaches seat six years ago strongly backed gay marriage with 75 per cent support and in 2019 threw out Liberal representative Tony Abbott.
The No campaign is also struggling across the harbour in the Sydney eastern suburbs seat of Wentworth, with 49 per cent support.
Teal independent and Yes supporter Allegra Spender’s electorate covers Double Bay, where $266,381 is the average taxable income, and harbourside Vaucluse, where $9million is the median house price.
North Sydney, held by teal independent Kylea Tink, is the only teal seat backing the Yes case, with 56 per cent support in this pocket of Sydney’s lower north shore containing Northbridge, where $191,225 is the average taxable income.
This electorate has 581 registered Teslas, putting it in the same league as Greens and Labor electorates near a big city centre that are also backing the Voice.
But the Voice is trailing in Mackellar, another teal electorate on Sydney’s far northern beaches held by Sophie Scamps with just 37 per cent support – in an area covering Palm Beach where houses have sold for more than $20million.
![Teal independent and Yes supporter Allegra Spender's electorate covers Double Bay, where $266,381 is the average taxable income and harbourside Vaucluse, where $9million is the median house price (the teal member for Wentworth is pictured second right with former local member and Liberal prime minister Malcolm Turnbull, Labor Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek and former Sydney lord mayor Lucy Turnbull)](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2023/10/10/23/76366395-12609313-Teal_independent_and_Yes_supporter_Allegra_Spender_s_electorate_-a-1_1696975400783.jpg)
Teal independent and Yes supporter Allegra Spender’s electorate covers Double Bay, where $266,381 is the average taxable income and harbourside Vaucluse, where $9million is the median house price (the teal member for Wentworth is pictured second right with former local member and Liberal prime minister Malcolm Turnbull, Labor Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek and former Sydney lord mayor Lucy Turnbull)
In Melbourne, the Voice has just 49 per cent support in teal MP Monique Ryan’s seat of Kooyong – which covers Kew and Hawthorn. Dr Ryan last year won the seat off former Liberal treasurer Josh Frydenberg.
The Voice is also trailing in the nearby seat of Goldstein, held by former ABC foreign correspondent Zoe Daniel, with 47 per cent support.
This Melbourne bayside seat backed gay marriage with 76 per cent support and the republic with 58 per cent support, and is home to 334 Teslas.
In the coastal Perth seat of Curtin, the Voice had just 41 per cent support, even though its local teal MP Kate Chaney is the daughter of Wesfarmers chairman Michael Chaney, who is also a strong Voice backer.
This electorate covers Cottesloe, a suburb that is home to billionaire mining magnate Andrew Forrest in a postcode with an average, taxable income of $229,805. The area is home to 457 Teslas, the sixth highest in Australia.
No Liberal Party seats are backing the Voice with Bradfield on Sydney’s upper north shore registering 46 per cent support, even though the overlapping state member for Hornsby Matt Kean is a strong Voice supporter.
The most enthusiastic Voice supporters are in Sydney’s gentrified inner west with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s seat of Grayndler near the top of the list, with 64.5 per cent in favour of the Voice.
The electorate of Grayndler has a median household income of $2,388 per week, or a level that is 36.8 per cent above the typical Australian pay of $1,746.
It also contains the Sydney Harbour of Birchgrove where the median house price of $3.063million is more than double Sydney’s already expensive $1.381million median.
The neighbouring seat of Sydney, held by Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek, had 70.4 per cent support for the Voice.
Greens leader Adam Bandt’s Melbourne electorate is backing the Voice with 64 per cent support.
In Queensland, the Greens-held inner-city seats of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan, are also backing the Voice, with 57 per cent, 52 per cent and 50.5 per cent support, respectively.
![In the coastal Perth seat of Curtin, the Voice had just 41 per cent support, even though its local teal MP Kate Chaney is the daughter of Wesfarmers chairman Michael Chaney, who is also a strong Voice backer (pictured is Cottesloe Beach)](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2023/10/11/03/76365321-12609313-In_the_coastal_Perth_seat_of_Curtin_the_Voice_had_just_41_per_ce-a-1_1696992626281.jpg)
In the coastal Perth seat of Curtin, the Voice had just 41 per cent support, even though its local teal MP Kate Chaney is the daughter of Wesfarmers chairman Michael Chaney, who is also a strong Voice backer (pictured is Cottesloe Beach)
![The No campaign is also struggling across the harbour in the Sydney eastern suburbs seat of Wentworth, with 49 per cent support. Teal independent and Yes supporter Allegra Spender's electorate covers Double Bay, where $266,381 is the average taxable income and Vaucluse, where $9million is the median house price](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2023/10/10/05/76364201-12609313-The_No_campaign_is_also_struggling_across_the_harbour_in_the_Syd-m-43_1696911786197.jpg)
The No campaign is also struggling across the harbour in the Sydney eastern suburbs seat of Wentworth, with 49 per cent support. Teal independent and Yes supporter Allegra Spender’s electorate covers Double Bay, where $266,381 is the average taxable income and Vaucluse, where $9million is the median house price
![The Voice is behind in six of the seven teal electorates - former Liberal Party strongholds in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth with Australia's highest incomes and house prices, and the most registered Tesla electric cars (pictured is a Model Y)](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2023/10/10/23/76403009-12609313-image-a-1_1696978418607.jpg)
The Voice is behind in six of the seven teal electorates – former Liberal Party strongholds in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth with Australia’s highest incomes and house prices, and the most registered Tesla electric cars (pictured is a Model Y)
Melbourne’s wealthiest suburb of Toorak, where $222,967 is the average taxable income, falls within the Labor-held seat of Higgins, where support for the Voice is at 56 per cent.
Australia’s richest city by average income, Canberra, is also backing the Voice, with majority support in all three Labor-held seats, ranging from 62 per cent in Canberra, to 57 per cent in Fenner and 52 per cent in Bean.
But Indigenous Australians Minister Linda Burney’s Sydney inner south seat of Barton is rejecting the Voice with just 47 per cent support.
This electorate backed the republic with 52 per cent support but rejected gay marriage with just 43 per cent in favour.
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